Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances: Week 3

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Key Takeaways:

  • 📊 The Eagles playoff chances are 90%, according to DraftKings Sportsbook. The Eagles are 2-0 heading into Week 3 of the NFL Season, they are currently tied with the Dallas Cowboys having 2nd best odds to win the NFC at +350, a 22.2% probability to represent the NFC in Super Bowl LVIII. The San Francisco 49ers are favorites to win the NFC at +225 odds.
  • 👑 The Eagles have a 50% chance to win the division. The Eagles are odds-on favorites, albeit slight favorites, to win the NFC East at +100, The Dallas Cowboys have the 2nd best odds at +105.
  • 🏆 The Eagles Super Bowl odds are +750, giving them a 11.8% chance to win. The Eagles odds are now tied with the Dallas Coyboys at +750. They still trail the defending Super Bowl Champion Kansas City Chiefs, who are also +700 and the now Super Bowl favorites, San Francisco 49ers whose odds sit at +650.

It's two weeks into the 2023-24 NFL Season and it's safe to say the Philadelphia Eagles haven't remotely played up to their lofty pre-season expectations and their odds are beginning to reflect it. They are no longer favorites to win the NFC. In fact, they're continuing to drop in implied probability on winning the Super Bowl, and they are now down to even-money to win the NFC East. Anyone who has watched the team bumble their way to a 2-0 start understands why. The Eagles offense has been lackluster despite scoring 4 TDs on Thursday Night Football to beat the Minnesota Vikings 34-28. Also, the injuries have already started stacking up for their secondary as they lost CB Avonte Maddox to injury. To make matters worse, QB Jalen Hurts has yet to pass for over 200 yards and already has turned the ball over each game.

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However, even though the Eagles have looked shoddy to start the season, they still are winning. Winning in the NFL is an accomplishment, no matter who the opponent is. So while some fans may be lamenting the slow start for the Birds, they are still getting the job done. The stats may not be optimal early on in the season for a team who cruised to the 1-seed in the NFC last year, but the only number that matters at this point is the 2-0 start to the year.

The Eagles will be taking their undefeated record on the road against a team that had quite the opposite pre-season expectations yet still sits at 2-0 as well - the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. QB Baker Mayfield has been maligned as a retread after bouncing around on some bad football teams, but he now seems focused on dispelling the negative narrative surrounding his career with a perfect start out of the gate. The Eagles sit as -5 favorites after sharp bettors came in heavy out of the gate on the Bucs, bringing the number down two full points from the opener of -7. It's not a surprise to this bettor either because the Eagles have looked pedestrian at best while the Buccaneers have flown above expectations early.

There is also the lingering issue that Jalen Hurts just hasn't seemed anywhere near his usual level of play that led the Eagles to the Super Bowl last season. He's missing on throws, not seeing receivers and has as many turnovers in two games as he had in his first seven last season. Even WR AJ Brown is taking exception with Hurts' decision-making, as the two were seen getting heated on the sideline during the Vikings game, likely because Brown's usage has plummeted early in the season. Hurts will look to return to form on a stage that hasn't been kind to him in his NFL career. He holds just a 1-3 record when playing on Monday Night Football, most recently losing to the Washington Commanders last season in a game that ended their perfect record. We'll see if the sharp money was right and the Eagles are in for another tight one this Monday night.

Make sure you have this page bookmarked as I'll continue to track how the Philadelphia Eagles playoff chances change week by week right here as we head through the year.

What are the Eagles Playoff Chances?

The Eagles playoff chances are 90%, according to DraftKings PA Sportsbook. They remain only slim favorites to win the NFC East over the Dallas Cowboys. But until the Eagles start dropping some games, expect their playoff chances number to continue to climb.

Eagles Playoff Chances90% Chance (UP From 88.9%)
Eagles Miss Playoffs14.3% Chance (DOWN from 15.4%)
👑 Eagles Win Super Bowl11.8% Chance (DOWN from 12.5%)
👑 Eagles Win NFC22.2% Chance (DOWN from 25%)
🔥 Eagles Win NFC East50% Chance (DOWN from 52.4%)
🗽 New York Times Postseason SimulatorNot Available Yet
🏈 ESPN Football Power Index (FPI)4.5 FPI (DOWN from 4.6)
Data Verified by ExpertSeptember 21, 2023

The Eagles playoff chances above are calculated using implied probability based on odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. The numbers you see when betting on these different outcomes (such as -900 for Philly to make the playoffs, +100 to win the NFC East, or +750 for the Philadelphia Eagles to win Super Bowl LVIII) are written in the American-style "moneyline." Using those numbers, you can calculate implied probability by dividing the odds by 1, plus the odds. So for a bet with the odds of +900 on the ML, the implied probability would be 10%.

The Philadelphia Eagles +100 odds to win the NFC East calculates to a 50% chance of Philly earning a playoff spot by winning their division, down from before the season at -135. The Dallas Cowboys odds have shrunk from +195 all the way down to +105 giving them have a 48.8% chance at winning the NFC East, the Washington Commanders - despite also sitting at 2-0 continue to see their odds drop from +1700 to +1800 and finally, after being shut-out 40-0 in Week 1 and needing a huge comeback to beat the Arizona Carindals, the New York Giants have a 3.8% chance at +2500 odds to win the division.

We'll also track how the Philadelphia Eagles playoff chances via implied probability compared to the New York Times Post Season Simulator and the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI). The Eagles saw a slight dip at ESPN's FPI list, dropping a tenth of point down to 4.5. They now rank 7th in the league, the Dallas Cowboys still hold the number 1 spot with a 7.6 - up 1.3 from Week 1. This number is a predictive rating system ESPN uses to measure a team's overall strength, using it to forecast both game-by-game and season-long results. It determines how many points an NFL team is better or worse than an average team, meaning the Eagles' 4.5 ranking grades them as being 4.5 points better than an average NFL team, not factoring in home-field advantage at Lincoln Financial Field.

Philadelphia Eagles Week-by-Week Playoff Chances

While Philly has a 90% chance to clinch a playoff berth this coming season, their other future odds to win the division, conference and Super Bowl continue to see noticeable dips.  NFL fans and especially bettors know, the implied probability is great but with potential injuries and other ups and downs, there are no guarantees until a seed is clinched or a team is mathematically eliminated. That is why we will update the Birds' chances to earn a playoff spot right here every week.

Philadelphia Eagles Schedule and Betting Lines

Here's a look at where the point spread and moneylines currently stand for the Eagles:

📅 Week 1 @ New England Patriots🏈 Eagles -4, ML -198 (Eagles WON and Covered)
📅 Week 2 vs. MIN (Thursday Night Football)🏈 Eagles -6.5, ML -298 (Eagles WON, Did NOT Cover)
📅 Week 3 @ TB (Monday Night Football)🏈 Eagles -5, ML -218
📅 Week 4 vs. Washington Commanders🏈 Eagles -7.5, ML -375
📅 Week 5 @ Los Angeles Rams🏈 Eagles -6.5, ML -230
📅 Week 6 @ New York Jets🏈 Eagles -1, ML -110
📅 Week 7 vs. MIA (Sunday Night Football)🏈 Eagles -4, ML -190
📅 Week 8 @ Washington Commanders🏈 Eagles -4, ML -195
📅 Week 9 vs. Dallas Cowboys🏈 Eagles -3, ML -155
📅 Week 10🏈 BYE
📅 Week 11 @ KC (Monday Night Football)🏈 Eagles +3, ML +124
📅 Week 12 vs. Buffalo Bills🏈 Eagles -2.5, ML -130
📅 Week 13 vs. San Francisco 49ers🏈 Eagles -2.5, ML -135
📅 Week 14 @ DAL (Sunday Night Football)🏈 Eagles +1, ML -105
📅 Week 15 @ Seattle Seahawks🏈 Eagles -2, ML -125
📅 Week 16 vs. NYG (Christmas Day)🏈 Eagles -7, ML -295
📅 Week 17 vs. ARI (New Year's Eve)🏈 Eagles -11, ML -520
📅 Week 18 @ New York Giants🏈 Eagles -3, ML -150
Data Verified by ExpertSeptember 21, 2023

For the critics of the Philadelphia Eagles 2022 campaign that saw them cruise to a first round bye, this schedule is a sight for sore eyes. Many pundits referred to last year's playoff run as fraudulent with a "cupcake schedule" due to their last place finish in the season prior. Philly gets no such luxury this year, having a Week 11 rematch against the team that eliminated them in the Super Bowl followed by a home bout vs. a top-ranked Bills team. They then get to follow that up with the now Super Bowl favorite San Francisco 49ers team out for revenge after the Eagles eliminated them at Lincoln Financial Field, ending the No. 2-seeded 49ers Super Bowl hopes.

Prior to the 2023-2024 season the Philadelphia Eagles were ranked as having the toughest strength of schedule in the entire NFL sitting at .566. They are one of just two teams in the NFL with a strength of schedule above .500, the other being the Miami Dolphins, a team they will host in Week 7.

Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances: Key Offseason Updates September 2023

As NFL fans and bettors alike know well, a single move can change the trajectory of an entire season - remember the in-season signing of Jay Ajayi in 2017, Birds fans? This section will serve as an update central for key moves regarding the Philadelphia Eagles.

  • 📆 September 18: Adam Schefter reports CB Avonte Maddox will need surgery on a torn pectoral muscle, and he will likely miss the rest of the season.
  • 📆 September 18: The Philadelphia Eagles released P Arryn Siposs and sign P Braden Mann.
  • 📆 September 14: The Philadelphia Eagles defeat the Minnesota Vikings 34-28, moving to 2-0 on the year.
  • 📆 September 12: The Philadelphia Eagles place LB Nakobe Dean on the IR. They also signed LB Nicholas Morrow to the active roster.
  • 📆 September 10: The Philadelphia Eagles defeat the New England Patriots 25-20 at Gillette Stadium to begin the year 1-0.
  • 📆 September 9: The Philadelphia Eagles announce LB Nakobe Dean will be out multiple weeks with a foot injury.
  • 📆 August 29: The Philadelphia Eagles acquire TE Albert Okwuegbunam and a 2025 7th-round pick from the Denver Broncos in exchange for a 2025 6th-round pick.
  • 📆 August 28: The Philadelphia Eagles sign CB Isiah Rodgers and place him on the IR/suspended list. Rodgers was suspended for violating the league's gambling policy in June. He is currently serving a year suspension.
  • 📆 August 24: The Philadelphia Eagles lost to the Indianapolis Colts 27-13 to end with a 0-2-1 record in the 2023 NFL preseason.
  • 📆 August 17: The Philadelphia Eagles move to 0-1-1 in the 2023 NFL Preseason, tying the Cleveland Browns 18-18 at Lincoln Financial Field.
  • 📆 August 17: The Philadelphia Eagles announce Haason Reddick will have thumb surgery but is expected to be ready for Week 1 in New England.
  • 📆 August 12: The Philadelphia Eagles lose their first game of the 2023 NFL Preseason 20-19 to the Baltimore Ravens.
  • 📆 April 29: The Philadelphia Eagles trade with the Detroit Lions for RB D'Andre Swift.
  • 📆 April 28-29: Days 2 and 3 draft picks for the Eagles include OL Tyler Steen, S Sydney Brown, CB Kelee Ringo, QB Tanner McKee, and DT Moro Ojomo.
  • 📆 April 27: The Philadelphia Eagles draft DT Jalen Carter and LB Nolan Smith, both out of Georgia, in the first round of the NFL Draft.
  • 📆 April 17: The Philadelphia Eagles agree to terms on a 5-year extension with QB Jalen Hurts.
  • 📆 March 20: DB C.J. Gardner-Johnson leaves the Eagles in free agency, signing with the Detroit Lions
  • 📆 March 18: The Philadelphia Eagles sign CB Greedy Williams to a one-year deal.
  • 📆 March 15: The Philadelphia Eagles sign RB Rashaad Penny to a one-year deal, as Miles Sanders leaves for the Panthers in free agency.
  • 📆 Feb. 28: Sean Desai becomes the Philadelphia Eagles defensive coordinator, and Brian Johnson is promoted from QB coach to Philadelphia Eagles offensive coordinator.
  • 📆 Feb. 14: Johnathan Gannon (Eagles DC) becomes the Arizona Cardinals head coach, and Shane Steichen (Eagles OC) becomes the Indianapolis Colts head coach.

Make sure you bookmark or check back to this page weekly for any updates that could affect the Eagles chances.

Key Contributors Toward Eagles Playoff Chances

The Philadelphia Eagles continue to see a noticeable dip in their future odds of winning the Super Bowl, the NFC and the NFC East. This has a lot to do with how dominant teams like the Dallas Cowboys and San Francisco 49ers have looked to begin the year. Both of them earned blowout victories on the road, vaulting of them in the conversation of "Best Team in the NFL" in Week 1. They followed that up with wins in Week 2 over the New York Jets and Los Angeles Rams, respectively. 

The Eagles path to 2-0 has been much sloppier than their aforementioned foes. The offense finally showed some life, scoring four TDs against the Vikings, but the porous defense allowed Kirk Cousins to work his team to a potential comeback that fell short. While the Eagles wins haven't been very pretty, they've been what they need to be - wins. While other teams are flexing their muscle, the Birds are searching for their identity with two new coordinators on the offense and defense. Hopefully, they find out that identity sooner rather than later because they'll be facing Tampa Bay, a scrappy opponent that is looking to stay unbeaten themselves, this coming Monday.


Where Can I Bet on the Eagles to Make the Playoffs?

Sports betting is legal in Pennsylvania ever since Gov. Tom Wolf signed it into law in 2018. You can bet on the Eagles to make the NFL playoffs at major sportsbook apps in Pennsylvania, including BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel and DraftKings.

BetRivers Sportsbook Pennsylvania is a particularly popular sportsbook in the state as well.

Across all major PA sportsbooks, the Philadelphia Eagles remain one of the top playoff-contending teams in the NFL. Whether they get in as the 1 seed in the NFC or sneak in at the final wild card spot, you would cash you "Will the Eagles Make the Playoffs?" your ticket.

Looking Ahead: Eagles Playoff Picture

When you look at the Philadelphia Eagles 2022 season, it was easy to understand why oddsmakers and analysts alike were so high on the Birds coming into 2023. They blew away expectations last season: The Eagles clinched the No. 1 seed in the NFC, ending the regular season tied with the Kansas City Chiefs for the league's best record at 14-3. They fell 38-35 to those same Chiefs in Super Bowl LVII, a loss that still stings. While that is all in the rearview mirror, what isn't is the fact that the Eagles don't want to become just another Super Bowl loser who struggled in the following season.

Only three teams in NFL history have ever lost the Super Bowl and then followed up the next season by hoisting the Lombardi Trophy - the 1970 Dallas Cowboys, the undefeated Miami Dolphins in 1972 and the team the Eagles defeated in Super Bowl LII, the New England Patriots. That is the rarefied air the Eagles hope to be in following the end of the 2023-24 season.

To do so, they'll have to navigate the league's hardest schedule and go toe-to-toe TWICE with the team ESPN currently has ranked as having the highest FPI, the Dallas Cowboys. They'll also have at least one meeting with the now Super Bowl favorites, the San Francisco 49ers. They hope their second meeting will be in the NFC playoffs.

It's certainly a daunting road the Eagles must travel and if they want to get there, it's going to take more than 190-yard passing games from their MVP-finalist quarterback along the way. But they say "a win is a win" and that's how optimistic Eagles fans will be looking at it as they head into Week 3 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.


Do the Eagles Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

Yes, the Eagles have a chance to make the playoffs. As a matter of fact, the Eagles prospects at making the playoffs are very strong with a 90% chance of snagging a playoff berth, per implied probability. While their odds to win the Super Bowl, NFC and NFC East may have shrunk since before the regular season, as long as the Birds keep stacking up wins this number will continue to climb.

Are the Philadelphia Eagles Out of the Playoffs?

No, the Eagles are not out of the playoffs. While Dallas Cowboys fans might say otherwise, the Philadelphia Eagles are not eliminated. Even after a stylistically ugly start to the season - with the Eagles sitting with a 90% implied probability to clinch a playoff spot - it's safe to say the Eagles playoff chances are still pretty strong.

Where Do the Philadelphia Eagles Rank in the NFC East?

While the number continues to shrink, the Philadelphia Eagles are still currently the top-ranked team in the NFC East. According to DraftKings Sportsbook, the Eagles are now +100 to win the NFC East, giving the Birds just a 50% chance of clinching their playoff berth via an NFC East title. It should be noted that no team has won the NFC East in back-to-back seasons since the Eagles had a four-year stretch as NFC East champions from 2001-2004.

To no one's surprise, the Dallas Cowboys are projected by oddsmakers to challenge the Eagles for the NFC East title. The Cowboys' odds are now down to +105 to win the division, meaning they have a 48.8% chance of winning the NFC East. The Cowboys left no doubt where they stand in the NFC East hierarchy as it pertains to the New York Giants. The Cowboys defense absolutely dominated the Giants, cruising to a 40-0 victory in Week 1. They followed that up with a dominant 30-10 win over an Aaron Rodgers-less New York Jets team. Now with the Arizona Cardinals on deck, I don't anticipate the Cowboys hype train will be coming to halt any time soon.

The third best odds to win the NFC East are surprisingly the Washington Commanders at +1800 or a 5.3% implied probability. Even though the Commanders sit at 2-0, their odds continue to get longer from the +1300 DraftKings Sportsbook was hanging before the season. This indicates that while the Commanders are getting it done to start the year, there's still a huge gap between Washington and the Eagles and Cowboys.

Finally, in the basement of the NFC East, we see the team that couldn't even muster up a field goal at home against the Dallas Cowboys and then needed a come-from-behind victory to beat a team who very well may be tanking - the New York Giants. Currently, they see their odds sitting at +2500, representing just a 3.8% chance of winning the NFC East. Now with a potential injury to star RB Saquon Barkley, let's just say I think there are some better things you could do with your money than bet the Giants at 25-1 to win the NFC East and leave it at that.

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Where Do the Philadelphia Eagles Rank in the NFC Standings?

The Philadelphia Eagles currently sit along side the Dallas Cowboys as second fiddle in the NFC playoff picture as DraftKings Sportsbook has them both at +350 to win the NFC, giving them a 22.2% chance of reaching the Super Bowl. The San Francisco 49ers have stayed pat as favorites after Week 1, sitting +225, giving them a 30.8% chance at getting revenge against the Birds and heading to the Super Bowl.

As mentioned, sitting alongside the Birds are the talk-of-the-town Dallas Cowboys who also have +350 odds, a 22.2% chance, followed by the Detroit Lions at +1000, giving the Lions a 9.1% chance at making it to the Super Bowl after they lost at home to the Seattle Seahawks. With all the movement at the top of the odds board, this figures to be a tumultuous market; you'll want to check back here weekly to see the latest odds and implied probabilities for the top teams in the NFC.

Where Do the Philadelphia Eagles Rank in the NFC Wild Card Race?

Heading into Week 2 of the 2023 season, oddsmakers expect the Eagles to be playing for more than just a wild card spot. The odds say they should be earning a weekly top spot in the NFC standings, setting their range closer to the No. 1 or 2 seed, rather than the No. 5 seed or lower. The Eagles are currently +600 to miss the playoffs on DraftKings Sportsbook, so it's safe to say just a wild card bid for the Eagles would be falling short of expectations.

Can the Philadelphia Eagles Get the No. 1 Seed?

Yes, the Philadelphia Eagles can still get the No. 1 seed in the NFC. In fact, heading into week 3 of the NFL season, the Eagles are favorites for DraftKings Sportsbook's "Last Undefeated Team" prop bet. The Eagles are +200 at being the last undefeated team, giving them a 33.3% chance at having a legitimate shot at finishing the season with the best record in the NFC.

We will continue to track the Eagles chances of getting a first-round bye and skipping the wild card round every week through Week 18.

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Who to Root for if You're a Philadelphia Eagles Fan

Obviously, you're rooting for a win in Week 3 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. But outside of that? It all starts in the division for rooting interests until the playoff picture begins to take form. As it's looking like a two-horse race in the NFC East, Eagles fans should be rooting for whoever the Dallas Cowboys are playing. So in Week 3, Eagles fans should be rooting for the Arizona Cardinals, and it wouldn't hurt if the Buffalo Bills would hand the Washington Commanders their first loss of the year, too. The Eagles will have their first NFC East matchup on October 1 when they host the Washington Commanders.

We will update you on major matchups and rooting interests for Philadelphia Eagles fans right here through Week 18.

Philadelphia Eagles Postseason Outlook and Predictions

If the Eagles continue to underwhelm while other top NFC teams continue to dazzle, we'll see the Eagles odds grow longer and longer. This is certainly something to monitor because, if the Eagles' odds get longer, there would definitely be some potential money-making opportunities.

We've already seen their odds of winning the NFC East shrink from -135 to +100 after two weeks of play. If we see some plus-money north of +150 for the Eagles to repeat as NFC East champions, that would be something I would consider betting on.

We'll update this section weekly throughout the regular season as the playoff picture starts to come into focus, so make sure to keep checking back for any bets that may show some better value.

Philadelphia Eagles Playoffs FAQs


Dan Alexander is an NFL betting expert for, focusing on the Eagles playoff chances and Super Bowl odds. He hosts and directs two sports betting podcasts, has a background in pro lacrosse betting, and is a longtime Philadelphia sports fanatic. He'll bring his knowledge base to NFL bettors in Pennsylvania.

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